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Washington Post Fact-Checked Biden’s Claim That Mass Shootings Tripled When Assault Weapons Ban Ended, The Math Just Isn’t There

On Thursday, President Joe Biden made the claim that mass shootings tripled after the assault weapons ban expired in 2004.

On Thursday, President Joe Biden made the claim that mass shootings tripled after the assault weapons ban expired in 2004. His claim was mostly false as a modest increase in mass shootings occurred and it’s not clear what the reason for it was, but it certainly did not triple. An analysis says that most likely it was due to population increase. Either way, the Clinton era ban was unconstitutional as the Second Amendment says “…shall not be infringed.” Everything Biden wants to do now is unconstitutional and as the gun control wars begin, we will see who sides with the Constitution and who doesn’t right before midterm elections.

During a prime-time address to the nation, Biden gave a bully pulpit speech in the aftermath of the mass shootings in a grocery store in Buffalo, New York, and at Robb Elementary School in Uvalde, Texas, last month. He pushed for unconstitutional gun control and repeated the claim he has made in the past, that the end of the “assault weapons” ban saw mass shootings triple.

Believe it or not, Biden’s claim has been fact-checked by none other than the “Washington Post,” where truth normally dies in the darkness, and even they found problems with it.

The Post fact-checked the statement, “When we passed the assault weapons ban, mass shootings went down. When the law expired, mass shootings tripled.” The Post reported:

“Biden claimed that mass shooting deaths tripled after the law expired. He appears to be relying on a study of mass shooting data from 1981 to 2017, published in 2019 in the Journal of Trauma and Acute Care Surgery by a team led by Charles DiMaggio, a professor of surgery at New York University’s Langone Medical Center. That group found that an assault weapons ban would have prevented 314 out of 448, or 70 percent, of the mass shooting deaths during the years when the ban was not in effect. But the data used in that study has come under attack by some analysts.

The new mass-shooting database shows that there were 31 mass shootings in the decade before the 1994 law, 31 in the 10 years the law was in force (Sept. 13, 1994 to Sept. 12, 2004) and 47 in the 10 years after it expired. As noted, some of that increase stems from population growth.”

Going 31 shootings to 47 over ten-year spans does not a tripling make. If my Catholic school math is correct, the number tripling would mean at least 93 mass shootings would have occurred and that’s simply not what happened.

In 2013, the Post awarded “Three Pinocchios” to the same claim that when the assault weapons ban ended, it led to a rise in mass shootings. With new data, the outlet revised its conclusion. “The body of research now increasingly suggests the 1994 law was effective in reducing mass-shooting deaths,” the Post concluded. Still, it left the claim “unrated,” because the evidence is inconclusive. It seems the Post wanted to side with leftist gun grabbers and tried to do so gracefully.

So, like everything else that Joe Biden says, the claim that the end of the ban caused mass shootings to triple is based on one cherry-picked study and is unsubstantiated.

In the end, you don’t punish millions of law-abiding gun owners on a single study that appears to be flawed.

Rich Welsh

Rich is a conservative, syndicated opinion writer and owner of He writes about politics, culture, liberty, and faith.

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